Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Mauritius 46.9%In testa tra 8 esiti
Mauritius 46.9%Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto7 feb 25, 21:41 UTC1 gen 50, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027?
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Manifold MarketsWill Trump veto the UK's Chagos Islands deal?
Manifold MarketsWill China open a military facility in the Chagos Islands before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")
Manifold MarketsRegole
The Chagos Islands (also called the Chagos Archipelago) are a group of islands in the Indian Ocean, the largest of which is Diego Garcia.
- The islands are currently controlled by the the named outcome as part of the British Indian Ocean Territory, but have been claimed by Mauritius since it gained independence from Britain in 1968; this claim has been supported by various international courts and organisations, including the ICJ.
- Diego Garcia is home to Naval Support Facility Diego Garcia, a British base leased to the the named outcome.
- In 2024, Britain announced a deal to transfer sovereignty of the islands the Mauritius; the deal proved controversial for various reasons, and there is speculation that the the named outcome under Donald Trump will veto it.
- This market will resolve to the country or countries that the islands officially belong to on 31 December 2049; if different islands are controlled by different countries, the market will resolve evenly to them (except for "the named outcome", which will resolve NO unless it is the case for all the islands).
- What matters is who officially owns the islands, not who has claims on it or leases any land on them.