Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeBefore 2035 44.2%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
58
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto20 ago 23, 15:18 UTC2 gen 00, 04:59 UTC
Trend
0.4%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What will be the most numerous type of fusion power plant in 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill Helion provide nuclear fusion power to a data center before end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill fusion power be commercially available by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Helion Energy have a power plant in operation by the end of 2028?
ForecastExWhen will nuclear fusion be achieved?
KalshiWill Base launch a token by ___ ?
PolymarketRegole
For decades, nuclear fusion was always "20 years away".
- Now it's time to settle the debate here! Will it ever happen, and when?
- I've opted for a range instead of a specific year, but you can specify the exact year in the comments below if you want.
- I've also allowed for adding new answers later for this poll, so if you think additional options need to be added, let me know!
- Will resolve when either of the following conditions are met:
- The first commercial nuclear fusion power station is built.
Mercati aperti
basePOLYMARKETWill Base launch a token by ___ ?
- December 31, 202754.3%
- June 30, 202736.2%
- December 31, 20268.6%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 6,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 16,2K €
POLYMARKETBase FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $500M59%
- $1B-0.5pt50%
- $2B43%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 644,8K €
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many Traders will my 2026 Spotify Market get?
- 70+100%
- 80+100%
- 90+100%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 58,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 9,5K €
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?
- United States11.7%
- France5.5%
- Canada4.5%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 3,6K €
- Volume 24h
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2030?
- 2.00% to 2.75%21.8%
- 3.00% to 3.75%21.8%
- 4.00% to 4.75%16.5%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 203,9 €
- Volume 24h
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich country will the Chagos Islands belong to on 31 December 2049?
- Mauritius46.9%
- United Kingdom25.7%
- United States10%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,3K €
- Volume 24h
- What share of global energy will come from nuclear power?
- Will NASA start building a moon base before 2036?
- If AI wipes out humanity, which organization(s) will be primarily responsible for the development of this AI?
- Will there be at least one Bank of England Base Rate increase before the end of 2026?
- Before when will Gateway be cancelled/abandoned?
- Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 1500 by the end of 2026? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
- How will the U.S. take Greenland? [Ind MC]
- Will there be a moon base by 2030?
- How many people will attend Slutcon 2026?
- What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2027
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built??
- Manifold Markets quota Before 2035 al 44% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built??
- When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2100.
- Come viene liquidato When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: For decades, nuclear fusion was always "20 years away".