Previsione della comunità attuale
Pete Buttigieg 59.3%In testa tra 24 esiti
Previsori
32
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto20 nov 24, 00:30 UTC19 feb 29, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsPete Buttigieg will be the Democratic nominee for President in 2028.
Manifold MarketsWho will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028? [limited responses for less lag]
Manifold MarketsLA-01 Democratic nominee?
KalshiLA-04 Democratic nominee?
KalshiLA-03 Democratic nominee?
KalshiRegole
Once a nominee is chosen at the Democratic convention, all non-nominees will resolve N/A, leaving only the nominee.
- Then this market will convert to "Will NOMINEE win the 2028 presidential election?"
- I reserve the right to remove or modify duplicates or joke answers.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/predyx_markets/which-wing-will-win-the-us-presiden?play=true)
Mercati aperti
base
POLYMARKETWill Base launch a token by ___ ?
- December 31, 2027+6.0pt56.8%
- June 30, 202734.2%
- December 31, 20268.1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 6,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 77,9K €
POLYMARKETBase FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $500M59%
- $1B-1.0pt49%
- $2B43%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 644,1K €
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many Traders will my 2026 Spotify Market get?
- 70+100%
- 80+100%
- 90+100%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 58,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 389,7 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
- No94.4%
- Yes5.6%
- Volume totale
- 80K €
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many regular-season wins will the New York Giants have in the 2026 NFL season under Jim Harbaugh?
- 5–7 wins40.2%
- 8-9 wins30.2%
- 10-11 wins13.2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 97,1 €
- Volume 24h
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich job should I accept? [M$10,000 subsidy]
- If I accept the Penguin job, at what will I rate my overall life satisfaction in 2 years, on a scale of 0-100?79.6%
- If I accept the Penguin job, will I believe it to have been the correct decision in 6 months?74.6%
- If I accept the Penguin job, will I believe it to have been the correct decision in 4 years?63.9%
+3 altri esiti
- When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built?
- What is the base of the next nice number?
- What countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?
- What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2030?
- Which country will the Chagos Islands belong to on 31 December 2049?
- What share of global energy will come from nuclear power?
- Will NASA start building a moon base before 2036?
- If AI wipes out humanity, which organization(s) will be primarily responsible for the development of this AI?
- Will there be at least one Bank of England Base Rate increase before the end of 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per If X is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency??
- Manifold Markets quota Pete Buttigieg al 59% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve If X is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency??
- If X is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency? dovrebbe risolversi il 19 febbraio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato If X is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Once a nominee is chosen at the Democratic convention, all non-nominees will resolve N/A, leaving only the nominee.