KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Troy Carter 12%+6.9pt
Qualità del mercato
46 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
312,7 €
Liquidità
7,7K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
7.7% / 15.0%
Spread
7.3 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
26 feb 26, 15:00 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
LA-01 Republican nominee?
KalshiLA-04 Republican nominee?
KalshiLA-05 Republican nominee?
KalshiArbitrage opportunity between Kalshi and Polymarket on Gavin Newsom as 2028 Democratic nominee disappears by:
Manifold Markets2028 Democratic nominee?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the named outcome wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 LA-02 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Democratic Party of Louisiana
- **Important information:** Louisiana's 2026 U.S. House elections have reverted from closed party primaries to an open "jungle" primary system.
- Under this system, all candidates appear on a single ballot regardless of party, and the state-administered election does not produce a formal party nominee.
- A candidate's party affiliation on the ballot is an informational designation, not a nomination, and party endorsements do not constitute nominations for purposes of this event.
- If Louisiana law is amended to restore a formal nomination process for U.S. House races, or if the relevant state party formally designates a nominee for a given seat, the corresponding market will resolve accordingly.
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mld €
- Volume 24h
- 1,8 Mln €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 615,5 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 altri esiti
- What will Trump say this week?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per LA-02 Democratic nominee??
- Kalshi quota Troy Carter al 12% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve LA-02 Democratic nominee??
- LA-02 Democratic nominee? dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato LA-02 Democratic nominee??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the named outcome wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 LA-02 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.