PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 99%+0.5pt
Qualità del mercato
86 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
54K €
Liquidità
66,9K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
1.2% / 1.3%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
2 set 26, 21:121 ott 26, 3:59
Trend
Regole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- Only permanent removal from office will qualify.
- Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
- A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Trump out as President by September 30??
- Polymarket quota No al 99% al 4 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Trump out as President by September 30??
- Trump out as President by September 30? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Trump out as President by September 30??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.