Probabilità implicita attuale
December 31, 2027 25%In testa tra 7 esiti
December 31, 2027 25%Qualità del mercato
73 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
17K €
Liquidità
110,1K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-4.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
5 nov 25, 19:35 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
September 30, 2026Persa
Prima della chiusura: 0% ·
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- Sì
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Friedrich Merz cease to be chancellor before 14th October 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Hendrik Wüst succeed Friedrich Merz as the leader of the CDU?
Manifold MarketsWho replaces Merz as Chancellor if he gets replaced before the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsWill Chancellor Merz announce a German defense spending increase to 3.0% of GDP by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsNext Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
PolymarketWho will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
KalshiRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.