Probabilità implicita attuale
No 82.2%-1.0pt
Qualita del mercato
76 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
920,7 €
Liquidità
62,4K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
17.0% / 18.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoComments
0
Variazione 7g
-1.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
5 nov 25, 19:3531 dic 26, 0:00
Trend
Regole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
