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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Politica
  3. Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

One-OffPoliticaEurope6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 22%
Qualita del mercato

72 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

112 €

Liquidità

28,8K €

Alta liquidità
Bid / Ask

21.0% / 22.0%

Spread

4.8%

Spread moderato
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 4 minuti fa

5 nov 25, 19:4031 dic 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes22%

Regole

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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Regole

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.