KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiNessuna attività di trading
Dati al 17 set 2026, 08:25 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
Before Oct 1, 2026 0%In testa tra 8 esiti
Qualità del mercato
24 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
—
Liquidità sconosciutaSpread
15.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
17 set 26, 04:00 UTC1 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
PolymarketWill Hendrik Wüst succeed Friedrich Merz as the leader of the CDU?
Manifold MarketsWho replaces Merz as Chancellor before the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsWill a member of the AfD party serve as chancellor in Germany by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsNext Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
PolymarketWho will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
KalshiRegole
If Friedrich Merz has either officially announced their intention to leave as Chancellor of Germany or has actually left as Chancellor of Germany the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Federal Government of GermanyGerman BundestagOffice of the Federal Chancellor of GermanyReutersAssociated Press
- An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office.
- Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official.
- The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.
- "Leaving office" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal.
- Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office.
Mercati aperti
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)-1.5pt73.3%
- New People (NL)+1.1pt22.8%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)+0.7pt2%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 26,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,4 Mln €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen36.4%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt25.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon+0.5pt13.1%
+38 altri esiti
POLYMARKETBerlin State Election Winner
- Linke-3.0pt63%
- CDU+3.0pt30%
- AfD-1.6pt6%
+5 altri esiti
POLYMARKETMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- AfD-8.0pt75.3%
- SPD+9.0pt24.8%
- CDU0%
+5 altri esiti
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December-9.0pt20%
- October-4.0pt13%
- September 30,-1.0pt5%
POLYMARKETBulgaria Presidential Election
- Iliana Iotova+1.0pt77.8%
- Аndrey Gyurov-3.0pt22.2%
- Nikolai Denkov+0.1pt0%
+11 altri esiti
- Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
- Next leader out of power before 2027?
- NATO downs another Russian drone by which date?
- Berlin State Election: Grüne Vote Share?
- Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner
- Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
- Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor??
- Kalshi quota Before Oct 1, 2026 al 0% al 17 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor??
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Friedrich Merz has either officially announced their intention to leave as Chancellor of Germany or has actually left as Chancellor of Germany the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.