Previsione della comunità attuale
No 89.2%
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16
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binary
Metodologia
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 53 minuti fa
In ritardo1 mar 24, 14:02 UTC1 gen 31, 05:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
PolymarketFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany?
FutuurWho replaces Merz as Chancellor if he gets replaced before the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsNext Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
PolymarketWho will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
KalshiWill Herbert Kickl become Austrian chancellor before 2031?
Manifold MarketsRegole
resolves yes if an AfD member serves as chancellor at any point prior to December 31, 2030