Avviso sulla qualità dei datiNessuna quotazione live
Dati al 8 set 2026, 22:31 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
Alice Weidel 15%In testa tra 6 esiti
Qualità del mercato
27 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
54,1 €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
9.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
24 ago 26, 21:00 UTC26 ago 29, 14:00 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
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KalshiRegole
If the named outcome becomes Chancellor of Germany as a result of government formation following the next German federal election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 26, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Der Bundeswahlleiter
- The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the next German federal election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Chancellor, commands the confidence of the Bundestag, and exercises the full powers of the office rather than serving in a caretaker or acting capacity.
- A person who becomes Chancellor through an intra-term change of government, without a new federal election, does NOT resolve this market If no government has formed by Aug 26, 2029, the named outcome resolves YES and every other market resolves NO If new elections are called before a government forms, the named outcome resolves YES immediately
- This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
- For this market a qualifying declaration must identify the person who will hold the Chancellorship following government formation; a declaration that a party has won the election does NOT qualify.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election??
- Kalshi quota Alice Weidel al 15% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election??
- Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election? dovrebbe risolversi il 26 agosto 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the named outcome becomes Chancellor of Germany as a result of government formation following the next German federal election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 26, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.