Previsione della comunità attuale
No 76.4%
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto12 feb 26, 06:13 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
KalshiWill the next German Chancellor be elected with AfD support?
Manifold MarketsFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
PolymarketWill Merz be German chancellor on Jan 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Markus Söder ever be German chancellor?
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketRegole
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Ed Miliband becomes Chancellor of the Exchequer at any point before the end of 2029.
- Resolution will be verified through official UK government sources, specifically the GOV.UK Chancellor of the Exchequer page.
- The market resolves NO if Miliband does not hold this position by December 31, 2029.
- Ed Miliband currently serves as Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero since July 2024.
- He was Leader of the Labour Party and Leader of the Opposition from 2010 to 2015.
Mercati aperti
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-3.9pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 494,6K €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-3.0pt84.2%
- Yes+3.0pt15.8%
- Volume totale
- 809,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 123,4K €
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+0.5pt77.5%
- Ulf Kristersson-1.0pt20.6%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.4pt1%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 3122%
- October 31+2.0pt10%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 altri esiti
- Berlin State Election Winner
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: SD Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Vote Share?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Ed Miliband become Chancellor of the Exchequer before 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 76% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Ed Miliband become Chancellor of the Exchequer before 2030??
- Will Ed Miliband become Chancellor of the Exchequer before 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will Ed Miliband become Chancellor of the Exchequer before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution Criteria