PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attualeSì 9%
Qualita del mercato
64 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
3,3K €
Liquidità
71,8K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
8.0% / 9.0%
Spread
12.5%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
19 gen 26, 20:3431 dic 26, 0:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Yes9%
Trend del volume
$3.8k2 lug25g di dati26 lug
Mercati Correlati
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
122K €United Russia (ER): 56%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
51,2K €December 31: 30%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
37,4K €December 31: 36%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?
439,5 €Sì: 6.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill a NATO member provide humanitarian aid to Russia before 2035?
439,5 €Sì: 31.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich country will build the first Military Space Station?
274,7 €USA: 46.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
Russia’s parliament passes crypto market law with $3,800 annual cap for retail investorsCoindesk
Russia is legalizing crypto for everyone except RussiansCrypto News
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikesBlockchain.NewsPolymarket: Iran regime-fall odds dip to 9.5% despite escalation reportBlockchain.NewsRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.