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  • Home
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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

1.0% (24h)One-OffRussia / Ukraine6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 12%+0.0%
Qualita del mercato

64 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

302 €

Liquidità

29,3K €

Alta liquidità
Bid / Ask

11.0% / 12.0%

Spread

9.1%

Spread ampio
Variazione 7g

-1.0%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 3 minuti fa

19 gen 26, 20:3531 dic 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes12%

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Mercati Correlati

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Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

80,9K €
December 31: 16%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

48,8K €
December 31,: 5%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

46K €
Sì: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

When will Russia capture Kostyantynivka?

675,6 €
Before February: 0%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Ukraine lose more territory in 2026 than it did in 2025?

446,9 €
Sì: 14.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?

129,9 €
Sì: 19%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,806.80+2.19%EthereumETH$1,657.71+1.65%SolanaSOL$65.21+1.74%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.51%XRPXRP$1.12+0.35%BNBBNB$596.32+1.80%

Notizie Correlate

Russia election odds hold with United Russia leading at ~54.5%Blockchain.NewsUkraine NATO Bid Doubt Surges: Polymarket Bets Narrow to NoBlockchain.NewsRussia Sanctions British Teen Over Crypto Sanctions ReportBlockchain.NewsRussia targets British 17-year-old for alleging digital assets were skirting sanctionsCointelegraphRussia targets 17-year-old Browder over A7A5 crypto findingsCrypto NewsRussia sanctions British teenager for alleging A7A5 use in funding Ukraine warCoindesk

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.