PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 93.1%
Qualità del mercato
77 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
1,9K €
Liquidità
52,1K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
6.0% / 7.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
12
Variazione 7g
-1.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
19 gen 26, 20:34 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Russia invade any NATO country before 31 December 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia invade a NATO country before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-6.0pt74%
- September 18-6.0pt69%
- September 11-10.0pt61%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 363K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)+0.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt3%
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+3.0pt79.2%
- Yes-3.0pt20.8%
- Volume totale
- 9,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 245,5K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.1pt49.6%
- October 31-1.0pt29.1%
- September 30-1.0pt12%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 301%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 62,8 Mln €
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Russia invade another country in 2026??
- Polymarket quota No al 93% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Russia invade another country in 2026??
- Will Russia invade another country in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Russia invade another country in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.