Previsione della comunità attuale
Other 22.6%+10.1ptIn testa tra 8 esiti
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+10.1 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
14 set 26, 16:58 UTC21 ott 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will be elected Chancellor after the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsWhich parties will gain seats in the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
PolymarketWho will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
KalshiWill the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?
Manifold MarketsNext German federal election winner?
KalshiRegole
Resolves to the first person who takes the oath as Federal Chancellor after Merz, if that happens before the next Bundestag election.
- Resolves N/A if Merz remains until then.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+12.0pt81.2%
- Yes-12.0pt18.8%
- Volume totale
- 15,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1 Mln €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.3pt19%
- Jon Ossoff+0.8pt17%
- Gavin Newsom+0.5pt13%
+48 altri esiti
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate+3.0pt50%
- D-House, R-Senate-2.0pt34%
- R-House, R-Senate-3.0pt14%
+1 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 188,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 675,8K €
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-2.0pt63%
- Nithya Raman+3.0pt37%
- Volume totale
- 27,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 642,6K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.5pt52.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt45.5%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt2%
+16 altri esiti
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Next French Presidential Election
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Texas Senate winner?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who replaces Merz as Chancellor before the next German federal election??
- Manifold Markets quota Other al 23% al 15 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Who replaces Merz as Chancellor before the next German federal election??
- Who replaces Merz as Chancellor before the next German federal election? dovrebbe risolversi il 21 ottobre 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Who replaces Merz as Chancellor before the next German federal election??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves to the first person who takes the oath as Federal Chancellor after Merz, if that happens before the next Bundestag election.