Previsione della comunità attuale
Hendrik Wüst 29.7%+0.1ptIn testa tra 10 esiti
Previsori
17
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-0.3 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto14 set 26, 16:58 UTC21 ott 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will be elected Chancellor after the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsWhich parties will gain seats in the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany?
FutuurFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
PolymarketWho will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
KalshiWill the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves to the first person who takes the oath as Federal Chancellor after Merz, if that happens before the next Bundestag election.
- If Merz remains until then, resolves N/A.