Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 17:41 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeOther 59.9%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
32
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 53 minuti fa
In ritardo26 feb 25, 03:03 UTC31 dic 29, 23:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who replaces Merz as Chancellor if he gets replaced before the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsWhich parties will gain seats in the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsNext German federal election winner?
KalshiWill the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?
Manifold MarketsWho will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
KalshiRegole
This market pertains to the next German federal election, scheduled to occur on or before 25 March 2029.
- This market will resolve to the first Chancellor elected by the Bundestag following the next German federal election.
- If no federal election occurs by 2030, or an election is held but no Chancellor is elected before then, this market will resolve to "the named outcome".
