Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì 76.3%
Previsori
92
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto18 ago 23, 12:37 UTC1 gen 30, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Next German federal election winner?
KalshiWho replaces Merz as Chancellor if he gets replaced before the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsWill the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?
Manifold MarketsWhich parties will gain seats in the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be elected Chancellor after the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsWill the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Will resolve YES if the AfD (Alternative for Germany) enters any federal or state government by the year 2030.
- Extensive polling data here: Neueste Wahlumfragen und Umfragewerte | DAWUM
- Related market:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Symmetry/will-the-afd-still-exist-by-the-yea)