Punto medio del book selezionato
No · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
—
Riferimento salvato
No 68%
No 68%Qualità del mercato
40 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
572,4 €
Liquidità
373,1 €
Bassa liquiditàOpen interest
19,9K USD
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Commenti
13
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 minuti fa
20 ago 26, 18:09 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- Sì
Principali detentori
Caricamento dei principali detentori
Profondità di mercato · No
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any German State Prime Minister after a 2026 election be elected with AfD support?
Manifold MarketsWill the AfD officially join any German state-level governing coalition by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any serving head of state/government of a UN-recognised country become vegan by 2027?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiNext Prime Minister of Spain?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) is part of the state government (Landesregierung) of any of Germany's 16 federal states at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A party is considered part of a state government if it provides at least one Minister in that state's government, including the Minister-President.
- In the city-states of Berlin, Hamburg and Bremen, a party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor, First Mayor or President of the Senate.
- A state government is considered formed when the state parliament elects the Minister-President (or, in the city-states, the Governing Mayor, First Mayor or President of the Senate) and that government has formally taken office.
- Coalition agreements, ministerial nominations, or announced coalition negotiations will not qualify on their own.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — AfD in a German state government? · Before Jan 1, 2030 95%