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Dati al 26 ott 2026, 12:48 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Punto medio del book selezionato
AfD · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
AfD 82%In testa tra 7 esiti
AfD 82%Qualità del mercato
43 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Open interest
21,5K USD
Open interest medioBid / Ask
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AfDSpread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto28 lug 26, 16:23 UTC25 mar 30, 14:00 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · AfD
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which parties will gain seats in the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be elected Chancellor after the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsWill the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the German government coalition hold until the next federal election in 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
PolymarketWho will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
KalshiRegole
If AfD wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Bundeswahlausschuss
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. For purposes of this market, the seats won by the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Christian Social Union (CSU) will be combined and treated as a single CDU/CSU option This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
Regole per ogni esito
- AfD
- If AfD wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
- CDU/CSU
- If CDU/CSU wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
- SPD
- If SPD wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Greens
- If Greens wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Left
- If The Left wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
- FDP
- If FDP wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
- BSW
- If BSW wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.