Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeAfD 89.6%In testa tra 8 esiti
Previsori
23
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto27 feb 25, 00:44 UTC31 dic 29, 23:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
In the next UK General Election [Likely 2029] which parties will gain seats?
Manifold MarketsWhich parties will gain seats in the next Thuringian state election?
Manifold MarketsWho replaces Merz as Chancellor if he gets replaced before the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be elected Chancellor after the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsNext German federal election winner?
KalshiWhich party will gain most seats in El Salvador Legislative Election?
PolymarketRegole
This market resolves based on the results of the next German federal election.
- For each party listed:
- Resolves YES if the party wins more seats in the Bundestag compared to the number of seats it won in the 2025 federal election
- Resolves NO if the party wins the same number or fewer seats.
- If no election is held by 2030, all options will resolve NO.