Gli Stati Uniti confermeranno che gli alieni esistono?
1.0 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffScienzaPolitica USA2m
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Prima del 20 gennaio 2029 · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
Book ricevuto (non l’ora della quotazione della piattaforma): —
Prezzo registrato
Prima del 20 gennaio 2029 Denaro–lettera registrato21%–22%Raccolto: Ultima operazione: 22% · Ora dell’operazione sconosciutaPrezzi in percentuale del pagamento, prima delle commissioni; queste osservazioni registrate non sono quotazioni eseguibili.In testa tra 7 esiti
Prima del 20 gennaio 2029 Denaro–lettera registrato21%–22%Raccolto: Ultima operazione: 22% · Ora dell’operazione sconosciutaPrezzi in percentuale del pagamento, prima delle commissioni; queste osservazioni registrate non sono quotazioni eseguibili.Qualità del mercato
≤74 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
81,3K €
Open interest
12,7 Mln €
Open interest altoBid / Ask
— / —
Prima del 20 gennaio 2029Spread
—
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
5 dic 25, 06:00 UTC1 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Prima di settembrePersa
Prima della chiusura: 1% ·
Prima di ottobrePersa
Prima della chiusura: 1% ·
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Prima del 20 gennaio 2029
Caricamento del book selezionato…
Book ricevuto (non l’ora della quotazione della piattaforma): —
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Manifold MarketsIf Jesus Christ returns, will the US confirm aliens exist before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
LimitlessIf the US confirms aliens exist, will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:the Executive Branch of the United States government
- For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President's Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP.
Regole per ogni esito
- Before Jan 20, 2029
- If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before September
- If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before October
- If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.