KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiNessuna quotazione live
Dati al 20 set 2026, 21:10 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
Mike Johnson 9%In testa tra 3 esiti
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
18,9K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
26 feb 26, 15:00 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
LA-02 Democratic nominee?
KalshiLA-01 Republican nominee?
KalshiLA-05 Republican nominee?
KalshiWill Donald Trump be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsJD Vance will be the republican nominee for pres in 2028 and gives a major anti-AI speech at the convention
Manifold MarketsWill Nikki Haley be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the named outcome wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 LA-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Republican Party of Louisiana
- **Important information:** Louisiana's 2026 U.S. House elections have reverted from closed party primaries to an open "jungle" primary system.
- Under this system, all candidates appear on a single ballot regardless of party, and the state-administered election does not produce a formal party nominee.
- A candidate's party affiliation on the ballot is an informational designation, not a nomination, and party endorsements do not constitute nominations for purposes of this event.
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mld €
- Volume 24h
- 1,8 Mln €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 615,5 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 altri esiti
- What will Trump say this week?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per LA-04 Republican nominee??
- Kalshi quota Mike Johnson al 9% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve LA-04 Republican nominee??
- LA-04 Republican nominee? dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato LA-04 Republican nominee??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the named outcome wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 LA-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.