JD Vance will be the republican nominee for pres in 2028 and gives a major anti-AI speech at the convention
PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezioneIA11mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 92%
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Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto14 apr 25, 18:51 UTC30 ago 27, 22:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will JD Vance be the 2028 Republican nominee for President?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an anti-AI terrorist incident by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom be strongly anti-AI before March 2, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028?
FutuurWill JD Vance win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExNH-01 Republican nominee?
KalshiRegole
Being very specific here.
- It's got to be both JD Vance as the nominee, and in his nomination speech he's also got to give a speech where the main topic of the speech is CLEARLY AI. i.e. not just mentioned, but mentioned FIRST if multiple issues are raised; and if multiple issues are mentioned, then impartial textual and emotional analysis should reveal that the major issue he's giving his position on is about AI.
- Deadline: whatever the normal (or rescheduled) republican party is (or the natural successor party, if there is one)
Mercati aperti
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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- Jon Ossoff12%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per JD Vance will be the republican nominee for pres in 2028 and gives a major anti-AI speech at the convention?
- Manifold Markets quota No al 92% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve JD Vance will be the republican nominee for pres in 2028 and gives a major anti-AI speech at the convention?
- JD Vance will be the republican nominee for pres in 2028 and gives a major anti-AI speech at the convention dovrebbe risolversi il 30 agosto 2027.
- Come viene liquidato JD Vance will be the republican nominee for pres in 2028 and gives a major anti-AI speech at the convention?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Being very specific here.