JD Vance will be the republican nominee for pres in 2028 and gives a major anti-AI speech at the convention
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneIA10m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 92%
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Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto14 apr 25, 18:51 UTC30 ago 27, 22:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will JD Vance be the 2028 Republican nominee for President?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be the Republican Nominee for president before 2041?
Manifold MarketsWill either Rubio or Vance be the 2028 Republican nominee for president?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an anti-AI terrorist incident by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028?
FutuurWill JD Vance win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRegole
Being very specific here.
- It's got to be both JD Vance as the nominee, and in his nomination speech he's also got to give a speech where the main topic of the speech is CLEARLY AI. i.e. not just mentioned, but mentioned FIRST if multiple issues are raised; and if multiple issues are mentioned, then impartial textual and emotional analysis should reveal that the major issue he's giving his position on is about AI.
- Deadline: whatever the normal (or rescheduled) republican party is (or the natural successor party, if there is one)
