Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 66.7%
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128
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo16 feb 23, 23:55 UTC1 gen 28, 04:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Gavin Newsom be strongly anti-AI before March 2, 2028?
Manifold MarketsThere will be an anti-AI super PAC that raises at least $20 million in 2026
Manifold MarketsJD Vance will be the republican nominee for pres in 2028 and gives a major anti-AI speech at the convention
Manifold MarketsIf someone commits anti-AI-xrisk terrorism, will AI xrisk worries be generally marginalized afterwards?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Background: https://twitter.com/Scholars_Stage/status/1626302227840225280?s=20
