Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)

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Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)?

Manifold Markets quota Yes al 89.1% al 25 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)?

Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria) dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2100.

Come viene liquidato Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)?

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria are the same as for the metaculus question: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3479/date-weakly-general-ai-is-publicly-known/

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POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-4.2pt85.9%
• Anthropic+5.2pt13.1%
• OpenAI+0.5pt1%

+18 altri esiti

Volume totale

3,2 Mln €

Volume 24h

130,9K €

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T28.6%
• $2.0–$2.25T+1.3pt20%
• $1.5–$1.75T+1.1pt19.1%

+7 altri esiti

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+7.9pt56.9%
• Gemini-5.7pt30.9%
• ChatGPT-0.6pt

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202794%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt92%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+2.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+6.5pt84%
• December 15,+8.5pt82%
• November 30,-5.5pt59%

+9 altri esiti

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+4.0pt56.8%
• Google-8.0pt34.7%
• OpenAI-0.1pt6.3%

+12 altri esiti

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