Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)

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Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)?

Manifold Markets quota No al 62% al 26 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)?

Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria) dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2100.

Come viene liquidato Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)?

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria are the same as for the metaculus question: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5121/date-of-artificial-general-intelligence/

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+11.0pt94%
• December 15,+11.0pt93%
• November 30,+25.5pt89%

+15 altri esiti

Volume totale

5,2 Mln €

Volume 24h

312,2K €

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+4.0pt96.5%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+8.0pt96%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+6.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+2.0pt31.1%
• $2.0–$2.25T+1.5pt20.4%
• $1.5–$1.75T-1.1pt17.5%

+7 altri esiti

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+1.3pt56.8%
• Gemini+2.0pt32.4%
• ChatGPT-0.4pt

POLYMARKET

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

• $ANT+45.0pt100%
• $AAI-9.8pt0%
• $ANAI-2.8pt0%

+6 altri esiti

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?

• 2027-12.5pt43%
• 2026-2.2pt12%

+1 altri esiti

Volume totale

938,4K €

Volume 24h

55,2K €

• Which company has the best AI model end of October?
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• What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?