Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 90%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo24 mar 24, 16:07 UTC1 gen 41, 04:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Sam Altman leave OpenAI before Strong AGI is discovered by any organization?
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Altman be CEO of Open AI when Strong AGI is achieved by any organization?
Manifold MarketsWhich company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?
Manifold MarketsWill we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)
Manifold MarketsWhat will Sam Altman say during NYT DealBook Summit?
KalshiWill Sam Altman hold super-voting OpenAI shares at IPO?
KalshiRegole
To determine if AGI is achieved we will use a combination of other markets / mainstream news / Manifold poll if need be
