Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 61%
Previsori
17
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto7 mag 24, 20:06 UTC1 gen 36, 04:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will strong AGI be achieved before we discover a room temperature superconductor like LK-99?
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on Mars before strong AGI is achieved?
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Altman leave OpenAI before Strong AGI is discovered by any organization?
Manifold MarketsWhich company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Sam Altman say during NYT DealBook Summit?
KalshiSam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year?
KalshiRegole
Strong AGI as determined by the official market and/or societal consensus
