Regolamentazione

Will crypto market structure legislation become law?

Before Jan 1, 2028

-1.0pt65%

Before Oct 1, 2027

+1.0pt62%

Before Jul 1, 2027

+4.0pt56%

+9 altri esiti

74 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale3,1 Mln USD

Volume 24h61,8K USD

KALSHI

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

62.4%

Sì

37.6%

Riferimento CoinRithm38%· intervallo di 3 pt

86 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale2,8 Mln USD

Volume 24h26,6K USD

POLYMARKET

CXMT IPO Closing Market Cap Above __?

11.4 pts5m

2.5T

+34.5pt100%

+11.4pt100%

+0.8pt100%

+3 altri esiti

74 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale288,9K USD

Volume 24h201,9K USD

POLYMARKET

Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?

1.0 pts11m

Paramount

+2.0pt70.3%

None before July 2027

+1.0pt25.7%

Netflix

Riferimento CoinRithmParamount71%· intervallo di 2 pt

85 • Alta qualitàSpread moderatoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale4 Mln USD

Volume 24h10,3K USD

KALSHI

Anthropic IPO by __?

22.5 pts11m

December 31,

+1.5pt59.2%

October 31,

-22.5pt34.2%

September 30,

5.8%

+3 altri esiti

70 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale802,7K USD

Volume 24h13,8K USD

POLYMARKET

CXMT IPO Closing Market Cap

0.8 pts5m

400B+ yuan

+0.8pt100%

<250B yuan

+0.1pt0%

250–280B yuan

+5 altri esiti

84 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale129,7K USD

Volume 24h62,8K USD

POLYMARKET

Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?

5.0 pts12g

Sì

-5.0pt55%

45%

80 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale92,1K USD

Volume 24h10K USD

KALSHI

Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

1.0 pts5m

Jersey Mike's

99%

SpaceX

99%

Shein

+2.0pt88%

+26 altri esiti

74 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale2,1 Mln USD

Volume 24h1,9K USD

KALSHI

When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?

Before Jun 1, 2027

+5.0pt72%

Before May 1, 2027

+6.0pt62%

Before Apr 1, 2027

48%

+10 altri esiti

70 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale1,1 Mln USD

Volume 24h2K USD

KALSHI

Discord IPO Closing Market Cap

1.6 pts1a

8–11B

-2.0pt34%

17–20B

-1.0pt19.8%

<5B

16%

+5 altri esiti

78 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale18,7K USD

Volume 24h8,4K USD

POLYMARKET

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

3.0 pts8m

Before Mar 1, 2027

81%

Before Apr 1, 2027

-3.0pt80%

Before Jan 1, 2027

72%

+8 altri esiti

63 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquidità

Volume totale1 Mln USD

Volume 24h1,4K USD

KALSHI

When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?

Before 2028

68%

Before May 1, 2027

+2.0pt44%

Before Apr 1, 2027

+25.0pt39%

+10 altri esiti

67 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale416,4K USD

Volume 24h3,2K USD

KALSHI

How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?

7.0 pts5m

At least 2

+7.0pt41%

At least 4

+2.0pt22%

At least 3

18%

+1 altri esiti

52 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale16,8K USD

Volume 24h1,7K USD

KALSHI

When will Starlink officially announce an IPO?

1.0 pts11m

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Jun 30, 2027

-1.0pt6%

Before May 1, 2027

-1.0pt4%

+10 altri esiti

70 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoAlta liquidità

Volume totale462,3K USD

Volume 24h392,5 USD

KALSHI

Will the SAVE Act become law?

SAVE Act becomes law?

43 • Bassa qualitàSpread strettoBassa liquidità

Volume totale73,3K USD

Volume 24h606 USD

GEMINI

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

1.0 pts5m

+0.0pt91.1%

Sì

-0.0pt8.9%

70 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale52,5K USD

Volume 24h502,8 USD

POLYMARKET

Will crypto market structure legislation become law?

Before 2027?

39.5%

Before August 2026?

46 • Bassa qualitàSpread moderatoBassa liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale89,1K USD

Volume 24h273 USD

GEMINI

Jersey Mike's Subs IPO Closing Market Cap

7.4 pts3g

$6.5B-$8B

36.8%

$8B-$9.5B

32.1%

<$6.5B

+3.8pt11.3%

+4 altri esiti

70 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale1,8K USD

Volume 24h1,3K USD

POLYMARKET

Will marijuana be rescheduled?

Before Jan 20, 2029

75%

Before 2028

66%

Before 2027

22%

+1 altri esiti

70 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale2,4 Mln USD

Volume 24h135,2 USD

KALSHI

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

2.0 pts5m

Above 50

+2.0pt46%

Above 58

38%

Above 55

-12.0pt33%

+5 altri esiti

51 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale14,3K USD

Volume 24h460,9 USD

KALSHI

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by which date?

0.3 pts5m

December 31

70%

July 31

+0.3pt2%

60 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale960,9K USD

Volume 24h215 USD

POLYMARKET

Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?

1.0 pts5m

Before 2027

+1.0pt18%

Before Sep 1, 2026

61 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoAlta liquidità

Volume totale274K USD

Volume 24h206,1 USD

KALSHI

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?

0.2 pts5m

96%

Sì

70 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale97,4K USD

Volume 24h150 USD

POLYMARKET

Which ICE reforms will become law in 2026?

0.1 pts5m

Mandatory body-worn cameras

10%

Separate HSI from ICE

Mask ban

+0.1pt7%

+3 altri esiti

54 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoLiquidità media

Volume totale52,1K USD

Volume 24h200 USD

KALSHI

Will the SEC eliminate the quarterly reporting requirement?

5.0 pts5m

Before Apr 1, 2027

42%

Before Jan 1, 2027

+5.0pt23%

Before Jul 1, 2026

52 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale43,3K USD

Volume 24h103,1 USD

KALSHI

FISA Section 702 reauthorized by which date?

June 30

-2.0pt0%

July 31

57 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoLiquidità media

Volume totale5,7K USD

Volume 24h149,6 USD

POLYMARKET

When will Anduril officially announce an IPO?

4.0 pts4g

Before Jun 1, 2027

21.1%

Before May 1, 2027

16.5%

Before Feb 1, 2027

16.5%

+10 altri esiti

56 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoAlta liquidità

Volume totale89,9K USD

Volume 24h58 USD

KALSHI

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

0.3 pts5m

97%

Sì

Riferimento CoinRithm3%· intervallo di 7 pt

49 • Bassa qualitàSpread strettoLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale220,6K USD

Volume 24h0 USD

POLYMARKET

Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?

1.0 pts8m

+0.0pt90.1%

Sì

-0.0pt9.9%

57 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale44K USD

Volume 24h83,3 USD

POLYMARKET

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

95%

Sì

49 • Bassa qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale155,4K USD

Volume 24h0 USD

POLYMARKET

When will Stripe announce an IPO?

Before Oct 1, 2026

99%

Before May 1, 2027

99%

Before Apr 1, 2027

97%

+6 altri esiti

22 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo

Volume totale133,6K USD

Volume 24h0 USD

GEMINI

Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027?

Citigroup

23%

Bank of America

18%

JPMorgan Chase

16%

+2 altri esiti

46 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioLiquidità media

Volume totale123,2K USD

Volume 24h0 USD

KALSHI

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

2.0 pts5m

-0.0pt81.2%

Sì

+0.0pt18.8%

33 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo

Volume totale101,1K USD

Volume 24h0 USD

POLYMARKET

When will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO?

2.0 pts4g

Before Jun 1, 2027

74%

Before Apr 1, 2027

15%

Before May 1, 2027

15%

+10 altri esiti

57 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale34,7K USD

Volume 24h39,7 USD

KALSHI

When will EA's take-private acquisition close?

Before Apr 1, 2027

99%

Before Oct 1, 2026

97%

Before Nov 1, 2026

97%

+5 altri esiti

48 • Bassa qualitàSpread moderatoLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale42,4K USD

Volume 24h20 USD

KALSHI

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

1.5 pts5m

Deutsche Bank

+0.1pt4%

RBC

-0.1pt4%

JPMorgan Chase

-1.5pt3%

+16 altri esiti

49 • Bassa qualitàSpread moderatoAlta liquidità

Volume totale68,7K USD

Volume 24h0 USD

POLYMARKET

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

87%

Sì

13%

49 • Bassa qualitàSpread moderatoLiquidità media

Volume totale67,4K USD

Volume 24h0 USD

POLYMARKET

Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than ___ ETH before 2027?

0.2 pts5m

5M ETH

+0.2pt89.3%

9M ETH

+0.5pt6.3%

7M ETH

4.5%

Cripto correlate

ETH

49 • Bassa qualitàSpread strettoLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale54,5K USD

Volume 24h0 USD

POLYMARKET

SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?

83.2%

Sì

16.8%

49 • Bassa qualitàSpread moderatoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo

Volume totale51,6K USD

Volume 24h0 USD

POLYMARKET

Will LLM restrictions become law in 2026?

82%

Sì

18%

49 • Bassa qualitàSpread strettoLiquidità media

Volume totale50,8K USD

Volume 24h0 USD

KALSHI

When will Discord officially announce an IPO?

Before Apr 1, 2027

69%

Before Jun 1, 2027

65%

Before May 1, 2027

64%

+10 altri esiti

41 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale43,2K USD

Volume 24h1 USD

KALSHI

Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?

1.0 pts3a

58%

Sì

-1.0pt42%

51 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale29,7K USD

Volume 24h9 USD

KALSHI

Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by which date?

2027

34%

2026

17%

59 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale12,2K USD

Volume 24h60,2 USD

POLYMARKET

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

1.0 pts5m

Mike Lee

+1.0pt57%

Mark Warner

55%

Catherine Cortez Masto

55%

+9 altri esiti

44 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale8,1K USD

Volume 24h61,3 USD

KALSHI

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

4.0 pts5m

-0.0pt80%

Sì

+0.0pt20%

Riferimento CoinRithm10%· intervallo di 10 pt

34 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo

Volume totale24,8K USD

Volume 24h0 USD

POLYMARKET

Will the FCC pull a Big Four TV station license?

Before Apr 1, 2027

27%

Before Jan 1, 2027

23%

Before Aug 1, 2026

10%

44 • Bassa qualitàSpread moderatoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale22,2K USD

Volume 24h0 USD

KALSHI

Will the ban on supersonic flight over land end before 2028?

Sì

67%

33%

49 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale19K USD

Volume 24h0 USD

KALSHI

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?

4.9 pts5m

94%

Sì

-4.9pt6%

Riferimento CoinRithm10%· intervallo di 4 pt

51 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale17,9K USD

Volume 24h1 USD

KALSHI

Asset Cripto Correlati

Will crypto market structure legislation become law?

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

CXMT IPO Closing Market Cap Above __?

Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?

Anthropic IPO by __?

CXMT IPO Closing Market Cap

Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?

Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?

Discord IPO Closing Market Cap

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?

How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?

When will Starlink officially announce an IPO?

Will the SAVE Act become law?

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

Will crypto market structure legislation become law?

Jersey Mike's Subs IPO Closing Market Cap

Will marijuana be rescheduled?

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by which date?

Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?

Which ICE reforms will become law in 2026?

Will the SEC eliminate the quarterly reporting requirement?

FISA Section 702 reauthorized by which date?

When will Anduril officially announce an IPO?

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

When will Stripe announce an IPO?

Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

When will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO?

When will EA's take-private acquisition close?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than ___ ETH before 2027?

SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?

Will LLM restrictions become law in 2026?

When will Discord officially announce an IPO?

Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?

Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by which date?

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

Will the FCC pull a Big Four TV station license?

Will the ban on supersonic flight over land end before 2028?

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?