KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before Jun 1, 2027 71%In testa tra 11 esiti
Qualità del mercato
59 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
137,7 €
Liquidità
362,6K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
5.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
30 lug 25, 14:00 UTC1 apr 27, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
PolymarketOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketOpenAI IPO before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI IPO and be a publicly traded company in the United States by the end of April Fools 2027?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI IPO before 2029?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRegole
If OpenAI confirms an IPO the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it.
- As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Aug 1, 2026.
- As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Sep 1, 2026.
Mercati aperti
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Volume totale
- 12,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 90,5K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-2.0pt51%
- Before Oct 1, 202749%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-6.0pt41%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 4,8 Mln €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 202754%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 877K €
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt19.8%
- $1.75T–$2.0T+0.5pt18.9%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt17.9%
+5 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202795%
- Before Feb 1, 202793%
- Before Apr 1, 202792%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 6,5K €
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- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
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- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO??
- Kalshi quota Before Jun 1, 2027 al 71% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO??
- When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 aprile 2027.
- Come viene liquidato When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If OpenAI confirms an IPO the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.