Will crypto market structure legislation become law?

One-OffCripto Regolamentazione Commodities Stablecoin Politica1m

KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativa

Probabilità implicita attuale

Before Sep 1, 2026 4%

In testa tra 12 esiti

Qualita del mercato

73 / 100

Qualità media

Volume 24h

34K €

Liquidità

1,3 Mln €

Alta liquidità

Bid / Ask

3.0% / 4.0%

Spread

33.3%

Spread ampio

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 19 minuti fa

13 lug 26, 16:001 set 26, 14:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

Before Sep 1, 20264%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

If a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

For purposes of this Contract, "crypto market structure legislation" means any bill that does all of the following:
Establishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND Creates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications.
The following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:
Bills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure; Bills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework; Bills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs); Appropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities; Bills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions; Executive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules (only Congressional legislation counts); Bills that pass only one chamber of Congress; Bills that are vetoed and not overridden; State legislation of any kind
Examples that WOULD meet the Payout Criterion:

Grandi operazioni

$3.0k99.6%

KALSHIBefore Aug 1, 2026 — Nol’altro ieri

$1.2k79.0%

KALSHIBefore Oct 1, 2026 — No3 gg fa

$1.6k78.0%

KALSHIBefore Oct 1, 2026 — No3 gg fa

$5.2k98.0%

KALSHIBefore Aug 1, 2026 — No3 gg fa

$1.0k50.0%

KALSHIBefore Nov 1, 2026 — Yes4 gg fa

$2.3k92.0%

KALSHIBefore Sep 1, 2026 — No5 gg fa

$1.2k65.0%

KALSHIBefore Jan 1, 2027 — No12 gg fa

$3.1k63.0%

KALSHIBefore Jan 1, 2027 — No16 gg fa

Trend del volume

$38.7k

2 lug25g di dati26 lug

Mercati Correlati

Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by which date?

635,1 €

2027: 34%

POLYMARKET

Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026

475,9 €

S&P 500: 64%

POLYMARKET

SOL vs Silver: Which hits $150 first?

19,5 €

SOL: 41.8%

MYRIAD

SOL vs Silver: Which hits $150 first?

18,8 €

SOL: 42.1%

MYRIAD

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?

46,6 €

Aristotle: 100%

POLYMARKET

UK Renewables Obligation scheme changes

0 €

Cancellation: 15%

KALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$64,420.95+0.67%

EthereumETH$1,884.69+1.51%

SolanaSOL$75.04+1.60%

XRPXRP$1.10+1.25%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0739+6.44%

BNBBNB$572.08+1.35%

Notizie Correlate

White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk

Augustus Raises $180 Million to Build a Stablecoin-Ready 'Global Dollar Bank'Decrypt

Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News

Russia passes landmark crypto bill allowing regulated retail tradingThe Block

Augustus Raises $180M at $1B Valuation to Build a Global Dollar Bank as Stablecoin Issuers Watch CloselyBlockchain Reporter

White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph

Regole

If a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

For purposes of this Contract, "crypto market structure legislation" means any bill that does all of the following:
Establishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND Creates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications.
The following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:
Bills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure; Bills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework; Bills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs); Appropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities; Bills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions; Executive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules (only Congressional legislation counts); Bills that pass only one chamber of Congress; Bills that are vetoed and not overridden; State legislation of any kind
Examples that WOULD meet the Payout Criterion:

Will crypto market structure legislation become law?

One-OffCripto Regolamentazione Commodities Stablecoin Politica1m

KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativa

Probabilità implicita attuale

Before Sep 1, 2026 4%

In testa tra 12 esiti

Qualita del mercato

73 / 100

Qualità media

Volume 24h

34K €

Liquidità

1,3 Mln €

Alta liquidità

Bid / Ask

3.0% / 4.0%

Spread

33.3%

Spread ampio

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 19 minuti fa

13 lug 26, 16:001 set 26, 14:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

Before Sep 1, 20264%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

If a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

For purposes of this Contract, "crypto market structure legislation" means any bill that does all of the following:
Establishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND Creates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications.
The following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:
Bills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure; Bills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework; Bills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs); Appropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities; Bills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions; Executive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules (only Congressional legislation counts); Bills that pass only one chamber of Congress; Bills that are vetoed and not overridden; State legislation of any kind
Examples that WOULD meet the Payout Criterion:

Grandi operazioni

$3.0k99.6%

KALSHIBefore Aug 1, 2026 — Nol’altro ieri

$1.2k79.0%

KALSHIBefore Oct 1, 2026 — No3 gg fa

$1.6k78.0%

KALSHIBefore Oct 1, 2026 — No3 gg fa

$5.2k98.0%

KALSHIBefore Aug 1, 2026 — No3 gg fa

$1.0k50.0%

KALSHIBefore Nov 1, 2026 — Yes4 gg fa

$2.3k92.0%

KALSHIBefore Sep 1, 2026 — No5 gg fa

$1.2k65.0%

KALSHIBefore Jan 1, 2027 — No12 gg fa

$3.1k63.0%

KALSHIBefore Jan 1, 2027 — No16 gg fa

Trend del volume

$38.7k

2 lug25g di dati26 lug

Mercati Correlati

Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by which date?

635,1 €

2027: 34%

POLYMARKET

Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026

475,9 €

S&P 500: 64%

POLYMARKET

SOL vs Silver: Which hits $150 first?

19,5 €

SOL: 41.8%

MYRIAD

SOL vs Silver: Which hits $150 first?

18,8 €

SOL: 42.1%

MYRIAD

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?

46,6 €

Aristotle: 100%

POLYMARKET

UK Renewables Obligation scheme changes

0 €

Cancellation: 15%

KALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$64,420.95+0.67%

EthereumETH$1,884.69+1.51%

SolanaSOL$75.04+1.60%

XRPXRP$1.10+1.25%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0739+6.44%

BNBBNB$572.08+1.35%

Notizie Correlate

White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk

Augustus Raises $180 Million to Build a Stablecoin-Ready 'Global Dollar Bank'Decrypt

Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News

Russia passes landmark crypto bill allowing regulated retail tradingThe Block

Augustus Raises $180M at $1B Valuation to Build a Global Dollar Bank as Stablecoin Issuers Watch CloselyBlockchain Reporter

White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph

Regole

If a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

For purposes of this Contract, "crypto market structure legislation" means any bill that does all of the following:
Establishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND Creates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications.
The following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:
Bills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure; Bills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework; Bills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs); Appropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities; Bills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions; Executive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules (only Congressional legislation counts); Bills that pass only one chamber of Congress; Bills that are vetoed and not overridden; State legislation of any kind
Examples that WOULD meet the Payout Criterion: