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  1. Mercati Predittivi
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  3. Will crypto market structure legislation become law?
Will crypto market structure legislation become law?

Will crypto market structure legislation become law?

1.0% (24h)One-OffCriptoRegolamentazioneCommoditiesStablecoinPolitica6m
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Before 2027
Before 2027 47%+1.0%
In testa tra 5 esiti
Qualita del mercato

44 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

83,3 €

Liquidità

7,7K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

43.0% / 47.0%

Spread

9.3%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 10 minuti fa

4 dic 25, 1:001 gen 27, 15:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità
Before May
Before May
0%
Before June
Before June
0%

Esito scelto

Before 202747%

Regole

If a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For purposes of this Contract, "crypto market structure legislation" means any bill that does all of the following:
  • Establishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND Creates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications.
  • The following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:
  • Bills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure; Bills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework; Bills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs); Appropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities; Bills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions; Executive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules (only Congressional legislation counts); Bills that pass only one chamber of Congress; Bills that are vetoed and not overridden; State legislation of any kind
  • Examples that WOULD meet the Payout Criterion:

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Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,643.79+1.88%EthereumETH$1,653.31+1.52%SolanaSOL$65.18+1.10%XRPXRP$1.12-0.05%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.26%BNBBNB$596.07+1.49%

Notizie Correlate

Crypto tax bills draw scrutiny as House hearing opens debateCrypto NewsCrypto tax bills a work-in-progress as U.S. House lawmakers pose concernsCoindeskKristin Smith pushes Senate to protect crypto developers in CLARITY ActCrypto NewsSolana Institute CEO says CLARITY Act must shield open-source developersCointelegraphParadigm challenges FDIC over controversial stablecoin yield banCrypto NewsUK financial regulator moves to allow mutual funds 10% exposure to crypto ETNsCoindesk

Regole

If a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For purposes of this Contract, "crypto market structure legislation" means any bill that does all of the following:
  • Establishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND Creates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications.
  • The following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:
  • Bills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure; Bills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework; Bills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs); Appropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities; Bills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions; Executive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules (only Congressional legislation counts); Bills that pass only one chamber of Congress; Bills that are vetoed and not overridden; State legislation of any kind
  • Examples that WOULD meet the Payout Criterion: