Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
2.0 pt (24h)RegolamentazioneOne-OffCriptoPoliticaUS Politics3m
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Catherine Cortez Masto 23%+1.0ptIn testa tra 12 esiti
Qualità del mercato
49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
169,4 €
Liquidità
13,2K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
6.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
16 mag 26, 21:00 UTC1 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
KalshiHow many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
PolymarketClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Clarity Act become law?
KalshiCLARITY Act signed into law in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill crypto regulation (Clarity Act) be enacted in 2026?
PredictItRegole
If the named outcome votes for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) in the Senate before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Library of Congress
- The vote must be the first final vote on the bill, not a motion to proceed or motion to invoke cloture, unless otherwise specified.
- This must be a vote in the relevant full chamber, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote.
- Once the vote has been closed and the correct result of the vote has been announced, a request by the member to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Congress.gov or any other Congressional source.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 12,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 180,5K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-13.0pt36%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-9.0pt32%
+7 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T21.2%
- $1.75T–$2.0T20.2%
- $1.5T–$1.75T19.2%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 105,1K €
KALSHIHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- At least 3+21.0pt84%
- At least 267%
- At least 4+13.0pt57%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 42,5K €
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- Weed rescheduled by which date?
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- LSU to leave the SEC before 2027?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act??
- Kalshi quota Catherine Cortez Masto al 23% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act??
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the named outcome votes for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) in the Senate before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket.