Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 84.6%
Previsori
79
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto21 feb 26, 23:57 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the Anti-CBDC Act be signed into law in 2026?
FutuurH.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketWill Ohio House Bill 249 be signed into law in the 136th General Assembly?
Manifold MarketsWill South Carolina H.3492 (partially refundable EITC) be signed into law in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Clarity Act become law?
KalshiHow many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves YES if H.R. 3633, the "Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025" (CLARITY Act) is signed into law during 2026.
- https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633
- If this exact bill fails but a substantially similar bill passes, I will use my best judgment to decide the resolution based on market commentary.
- I will likely bet on this market, so caveat emptor.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 12,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 180,5K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-13.0pt36%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-9.0pt32%
+7 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T21.2%
- $1.75T–$2.0T20.2%
- $1.5T–$1.75T19.2%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 105,1K €
KALSHIHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- At least 3+21.0pt84%
- At least 267%
- At least 4+13.0pt57%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 42,5K €
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- Weed rescheduled by which date?
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- LSU to leave the SEC before 2027?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per CLARITY Act signed into law in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 85% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve CLARITY Act signed into law in 2026??
- CLARITY Act signed into law in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato CLARITY Act signed into law in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if H.R. 3633, the "Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025" (CLARITY Act) is signed into law during 2026.
- Dove altro è quotato CLARITY Act signed into law in 2026??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket, Futuur.