KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Above 60 68%+40.0ptIn testa tra 8 esiti
Qualità del mercato
41 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
286,4 €
Liquidità
17,6K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
16.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
16 mag 26, 21:00 UTC1 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
KalshiWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
PolymarketClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Clarity Act become law?
KalshiCLARITY Act signed into law in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill crypto regulation (Clarity Act) be enacted in 2026?
PredictItRegole
If the number of Senate voting Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) before Jan 1, 2027 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Library of Congress
- KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcryptostructure/crypto-market-structure/kxcryptostructure-26jan
- The vote must occur in the relevant full chamber (that is, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote).
- If no vote has occurred before the specified date, then any market not including "zero" within its count (e.g. "Between 50 and 64") resolves to No, and any market including "zero" (e.g. "Below 50") resolves to Yes.
- If the vote count is not specified but the bill is passed, any market including "100" for the Senate and "435" for the House of Representatives (e.g. "Between 65 and 100" or "Between 300 and 435") will resolve to Yes, and any market not including "100" or "435", respectively, (e.g. "Below 65") resolves to No. Once the market has expired, a request by any Member of Congress to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Congress.gov or any other official source.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
2 piattaforme quotano attualmente questo mercato. La probabilità di riferimento ponderata per la liquidità di CoinRithm per Above 60 è del 34%. Le quotazioni differiscono di circa 34 punti percentuali tra le piattaforme più distanti.
Riferimento CoinRithm Above 60 34% · 2 piattaforme · 34 pt di scarto tra venue