KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before Jan 20, 2029 76%-2.0ptIn testa tra 3 esiti
Qualità del mercato
73 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
5,3K €
Liquidità
256,8K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
2.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
11 giu 25, 14:00 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWeed rescheduled by which date?
PolymarketWill a U.S. state legalize marijuana in 2026
Manifold MarketsWhat’s the next state to legalize recreational marijuana? 🍁
Manifold MarketsClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
KalshiRegole
If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:SemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCthe United States CongressThe New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPolitico
- If the DEA were to reschedule only certain cannabis derivatives or specific cannabinoids (e.g., move THC or a particular cannabis-derived pharmaceutical to a different schedule) without reclassifying marijuana/cannabis as a whole, that would not qualify as rescheduling marijuana for this contract.
- Ending the schedule altogether would resolve the market to Yes.
- Clarification (12/12/25): The Payout Criterion requires that marijuana is legally removed from Schedule I. The mere announcement or publication of a Final Rule in the Federal Register does not satisfy the Payout Criterion if the rule has not taken legal effect.
- The market resolves based on the actual status of the Schedules under the Controlled Substances Act.
- If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 12,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 180,5K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-13.0pt36%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-9.0pt32%
+7 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T21.2%
- $1.75T–$2.0T20.2%
- $1.5T–$1.75T19.2%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 105,1K €
KALSHIHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- At least 3+21.0pt84%
- At least 267%
- At least 4+13.0pt57%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 42,5K €
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- Weed rescheduled by which date?
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- LSU to leave the SEC before 2027?
- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will marijuana be rescheduled??
- Kalshi quota Before Jan 20, 2029 al 76% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will marijuana be rescheduled??
- Will marijuana be rescheduled? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will marijuana be rescheduled??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.