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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Regolamentazione
  3. Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Will marijuana be rescheduled?

Will marijuana be rescheduled?

RegolamentazioneOne-OffPoliticaUS Politics19g
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Before July 2026
Before July 2026 1%
In testa tra 4 esiti
Qualita del mercato

44 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

15,1 €

Liquidità

6,1K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

0.6% / 1.2%

Spread

100.0%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 3 minuti fa

17 dic 25, 18:001 lug 26, 3:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Before July 20261%

Regole

If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the DEA were to reschedule only certain cannabis derivatives or specific cannabinoids (e.g., move THC or a particular cannabis-derived pharmaceutical to a different schedule) without reclassifying marijuana/cannabis as a whole, that would not qualify as rescheduling marijuana for this contract.
  • Ending the schedule altogether would resolve the market to Yes.
  • Clarification (12/12/25): The Payout Criterion requires that marijuana is legally removed from Schedule I.
  • The mere announcement or publication of a Final Rule in the Federal Register does not satisfy the Payout Criterion if the rule has not taken legal effect.
  • The market resolves based on the actual status of the Schedules under the Controlled Substances Act.

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Attivi in questi argomenti

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Notizie Correlate

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Regole

If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the DEA were to reschedule only certain cannabis derivatives or specific cannabinoids (e.g., move THC or a particular cannabis-derived pharmaceutical to a different schedule) without reclassifying marijuana/cannabis as a whole, that would not qualify as rescheduling marijuana for this contract.
  • Ending the schedule altogether would resolve the market to Yes.
  • Clarification (12/12/25): The Payout Criterion requires that marijuana is legally removed from Schedule I.
  • The mere announcement or publication of a Final Rule in the Federal Register does not satisfy the Payout Criterion if the rule has not taken legal effect.
  • The market resolves based on the actual status of the Schedules under the Controlled Substances Act.