Will marijuana be rescheduled?

RegolamentazioneOne-OffPolitica US Politics1a

KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativa

Probabilità implicita attuale

Before 2028 66%

In testa tra 4 esiti

Qualita del mercato

89 / 100

Alta qualità

Volume 24h

8,4K €

Liquidità

662,3K €

Alta liquidità

Bid / Ask

66.0% / 68.0%

Spread

3.0%

Spread moderato

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 24 minuti fa

12 dic 25, 1:001 gen 28, 4:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Before July 2026

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

Before 202866%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the DEA were to reschedule only certain cannabis derivatives or specific cannabinoids (e.g., move THC or a particular cannabis-derived pharmaceutical to a different schedule) without reclassifying marijuana/cannabis as a whole, that would not qualify as rescheduling marijuana for this contract.
Ending the schedule altogether would resolve the market to Yes.
Clarification (12/12/25): The Payout Criterion requires that marijuana is legally removed from Schedule I.
The mere announcement or publication of a Final Rule in the Federal Register does not satisfy the Payout Criterion if the rule has not taken legal effect.
The market resolves based on the actual status of the Schedules under the Controlled Substances Act.

Trend del volume

$9.5k

2 lug25g di dati26 lug

Mercati Correlati

Will the JAWBONE Act be enacted into law in the 119th Congress?

15,8 €

Sì: 44.2%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the Senate pass the SAVE Act before the Midterms?

0 €

Sì: 16%

PREDICTIT

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

71,9K €

Sì: 38%

POLYMARKET

Will SBF receive a presidential pardon by end 2026?

1,3K €

Sì: 3%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the federal government ban the sale or making of cultured meat throughout US by the end of 2028?

439,5 €

Sì: 9.5%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

387,4 €

Above 50: 44%

KALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$64,558.04+0.82%

EthereumETH$1,888.84+1.72%

SolanaSOL$74.93+1.38%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0733+5.28%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.94%

BNBBNB$571.45+1.14%

Notizie Correlate

HashKey MENA Secures VARA Approval for Crypto Derivatives as Regulated Futures Market GrowsBlockchain Reporter

White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk

Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News

Russia passes landmark crypto bill allowing regulated retail tradingThe Block

White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph

Russia’s parliament passes crypto market law with $3,800 annual cap for retail investorsCoindesk

Regole

If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the DEA were to reschedule only certain cannabis derivatives or specific cannabinoids (e.g., move THC or a particular cannabis-derived pharmaceutical to a different schedule) without reclassifying marijuana/cannabis as a whole, that would not qualify as rescheduling marijuana for this contract.
Ending the schedule altogether would resolve the market to Yes.
Clarification (12/12/25): The Payout Criterion requires that marijuana is legally removed from Schedule I.
The mere announcement or publication of a Final Rule in the Federal Register does not satisfy the Payout Criterion if the rule has not taken legal effect.
The market resolves based on the actual status of the Schedules under the Controlled Substances Act.

Will marijuana be rescheduled?

RegolamentazioneOne-OffPolitica US Politics1a

KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativa

Probabilità implicita attuale

Before 2028 66%

In testa tra 4 esiti

Qualita del mercato

89 / 100

Alta qualità

Volume 24h

8,4K €

Liquidità

662,3K €

Alta liquidità

Bid / Ask

66.0% / 68.0%

Spread

3.0%

Spread moderato

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 24 minuti fa

12 dic 25, 1:001 gen 28, 4:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Before July 2026

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

Before 202866%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the DEA were to reschedule only certain cannabis derivatives or specific cannabinoids (e.g., move THC or a particular cannabis-derived pharmaceutical to a different schedule) without reclassifying marijuana/cannabis as a whole, that would not qualify as rescheduling marijuana for this contract.
Ending the schedule altogether would resolve the market to Yes.
Clarification (12/12/25): The Payout Criterion requires that marijuana is legally removed from Schedule I.
The mere announcement or publication of a Final Rule in the Federal Register does not satisfy the Payout Criterion if the rule has not taken legal effect.
The market resolves based on the actual status of the Schedules under the Controlled Substances Act.

Trend del volume

$9.5k

2 lug25g di dati26 lug

Mercati Correlati

Will the JAWBONE Act be enacted into law in the 119th Congress?

15,8 €

Sì: 44.2%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the Senate pass the SAVE Act before the Midterms?

0 €

Sì: 16%

PREDICTIT

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

71,9K €

Sì: 38%

POLYMARKET

Will SBF receive a presidential pardon by end 2026?

1,3K €

Sì: 3%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the federal government ban the sale or making of cultured meat throughout US by the end of 2028?

439,5 €

Sì: 9.5%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

387,4 €

Above 50: 44%

KALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$64,558.04+0.82%

EthereumETH$1,888.84+1.72%

SolanaSOL$74.93+1.38%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0733+5.28%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.94%

BNBBNB$571.45+1.14%

Notizie Correlate

HashKey MENA Secures VARA Approval for Crypto Derivatives as Regulated Futures Market GrowsBlockchain Reporter

White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk

Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News

Russia passes landmark crypto bill allowing regulated retail tradingThe Block

White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph

Russia’s parliament passes crypto market law with $3,800 annual cap for retail investorsCoindesk

Regole

If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the DEA were to reschedule only certain cannabis derivatives or specific cannabinoids (e.g., move THC or a particular cannabis-derived pharmaceutical to a different schedule) without reclassifying marijuana/cannabis as a whole, that would not qualify as rescheduling marijuana for this contract.
Ending the schedule altogether would resolve the market to Yes.
Clarification (12/12/25): The Payout Criterion requires that marijuana is legally removed from Schedule I.
The mere announcement or publication of a Final Rule in the Federal Register does not satisfy the Payout Criterion if the rule has not taken legal effect.
The market resolves based on the actual status of the Schedules under the Controlled Substances Act.