KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before Jan 1, 2028 47%In testa tra 5 esiti
Qualità del mercato
69 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1,8K €
Liquidità
91,6K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
2.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
25 nov 25, 02:00 UTC1 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
2026 Gambling Loss Tax Rules Prop Bets
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Manifold MarketsRegole
If a bill that removes/changes the gambling tax provision in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act ("OBBB") has become law after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Library of Congress
- If a bill that removes/changes the gambling tax provision in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act ("OBBB") has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a bill that removes/changes the gambling tax provision in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act ("OBBB") has become law after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-1.0pt82.2%
- Yes+1.0pt17.8%
- Volume totale
- 12,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 204,1K €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+1.0pt43%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-6.0pt35%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-3.0pt31%
+7 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202798%
- Before Apr 1, 202795%
- Before Jan 1, 202792%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 18,4K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,4 Mln €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt65%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 202750%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 892,9K €
KALSHIWhich companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Jersey Mike's99%
- Shein98%
- Oura-1.0pt94%
+26 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 6,2K €
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- How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by which date?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
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- Ohio State vs Texas
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed??
- Kalshi quota Before Jan 1, 2028 al 47% al 11 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed??
- Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If a bill that removes/changes the gambling tax provision in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act ("OBBB") has become law after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket.