Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeGambling losses deduction remains limited to 90% as laid out in OBBB 66%In testa tra 8 esiti
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto14 lug 25, 14:29 UTC15 apr 27, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Inspired by this Money Stuff column: One sentence of the 940-page [‘One Big Beautiful Bill Act’ passed last week] says gamblers can deduct only 90 percent of their annual losses, instead of 100 percent, which has been the norm.
- This has created a funny situation where sports predicting on markets like Kalshi is taxed as capital gains but sports betting on a traditional book like draftkings gets unfavorable treatment around deducting losses.
- All questions resolve on tax day 2027 unless otherwise stated.
- I'm open to moving the resolution date if something legal development is likely to get decided soon after.
- I'm interested in the short term impacts not the long term, so anything pending would have to apply to the 2026 tax year.
- If legal action takes place before resolution, I'll leave these open for some time to account for appeals.
Mercati aperti
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 12,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 248,7K €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-15.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-5.0pt49%
+8 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T20%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.1%
- $1.5T–$1.75T18.1%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 96,6K €
- How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per 2026 Gambling Loss Tax Rules Prop Bets?
- Manifold Markets quota Gambling losses deduction remains limited to 90% as laid out in OBBB al 66% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve 2026 Gambling Loss Tax Rules Prop Bets?
- 2026 Gambling Loss Tax Rules Prop Bets dovrebbe risolversi il 15 aprile 2027.
- Come viene liquidato 2026 Gambling Loss Tax Rules Prop Bets?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Inspired by this Money Stuff column: One sentence of the 940-page [‘One Big Beautiful Bill Act’ passed last week] says gamblers can deduct only 90 percent of their annual losses, instead of 100 percent, which has been the norm.