8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job loss [See full title!]
RegolamentazioneIAOne-OffPoliticaPolitica USAElezioneCinaElezioni di metà mandato USA 2026Materie primeMeteo2m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 24 ott 2026, 13:31 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 62.8%
Previsori
37
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 46 minuti fa
In ritardo28 dic 25, 11:33 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]
Manifold Markets10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]
Manifold Markets2. Details of SSI’s research and technology will leak. The big labs will make meaningful adjustments [See full title!]
Manifold Markets5. Depreciation schedules become critically important, as debt plays growing role in the AI buildout [See full title!]
Manifold MarketsWill the cap on gambling loss deduction be repealed?
KalshiWill air quality in Los Angeles improve by 2037?
Manifold MarketsRegole
All these predictions are taken from Forbes/Rob Toews' "10 AI Predictions For 2026".
- For the 2025 predictions you can find them here, and their resolution here.
- You can find all the markets under the tag [2026 Forbes AI predictions].
- Note that I will resolve to whatever Forbes/Rob Toews say in their resolution article for 2026's predictions, even if I or others disagree with his decision.
- I might bet in this market, as I have no power over the resolution.
- ❗ Full title: 8.
