2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional)
1.0 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneElezioni di metà mandato USA 20263m
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Democrats, ≥2% · —
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Prezzo registrato
Democrats, ≥2% 96%In testa tra 13 esiti
Democrats, ≥2% 96%Qualità del mercato
68 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
2,4K €
Open interest
25,8K USD
Open interest altoBid / Ask
— / —
Democrats, ≥2%Spread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
15 set 26, 16:00 UTC3 feb 27, 15:00 UTC
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Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
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- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Democrats, ≥2%
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
2026 Midterms: House popular vote vs. generic ballot?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Polymarket2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
KalshiNZ Popular Vote Margin of Victory (Polymarket)
Manifold MarketsNZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
PolymarketIf Musk registers a new party before the 2026 midterms, what % of House votes will it win?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the Democratic minus Republican margin in the national House popular vote is at least 10 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Office of the Clerk, U.S. House of Representatives
- The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote percentage received by all Democratic party House candidates in the general election minus the vote percentage received by all Republican party House candidates in the general election. The margin will be positive if the Democratic party wins the national House popular vote and negative if they lose the national House popular vote.
Regole per ogni esito
- Democrats, ≥2%
- If the Democratic minus Republican margin in the national House popular vote is at least 2 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democrats, ≥4%
- If the Democratic minus Republican margin in the national House popular vote is at least 4 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democrats, ≥5%
- If the Democratic minus Republican margin in the national House popular vote is at least 5 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democrats, ≥6%
- If the Democratic minus Republican margin in the national House popular vote is at least 6 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democrats, ≥7%
- If the Democratic minus Republican margin in the national House popular vote is at least 7 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democrats, ≥8%
- If the Democratic minus Republican margin in the national House popular vote is at least 8 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democrats, ≥9%
- If the Democratic minus Republican margin in the national House popular vote is at least 9 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democrats, ≥10%
- If the Democratic minus Republican margin in the national House popular vote is at least 10 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democrats, ≥11%
- If the Democratic minus Republican margin in the national House popular vote is at least 11 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democrats, ≥12%
- If the Democratic minus Republican margin in the national House popular vote is at least 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democrats, ≥13%
- If the Democratic minus Republican margin in the national House popular vote is at least 13 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democrats, ≥14%
- If the Democratic minus Republican margin in the national House popular vote is at least 14 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democrats, ≥16%
- If the Democratic minus Republican margin in the national House popular vote is at least 16 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes.