2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
One-OffPoliticaElezioneUS Politics1a
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeDemocrats, 8 to 10% 22.1%In testa tra 10 esiti
Qualita del mercato
77 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
5,7K €
Liquidità
430,7K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
21.0% / 22.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 minuti fa
4 feb 26, 15:003 nov 27, 13:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Democrats, 6 to 8%22%
Confronta le piattaforme· Democrats, 8 to 10%
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Alta | 25% | — | 5,7K € | 430,7K € | 14 minuti fa | |
 PredictIt87% di corrispondenza · verificato | — | 25% | — | — | — | 14 minuti fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su PredictIt
What will be the national vote margin in the 2026 House midterms?
8m
25%
25%
0%
+5 altri esiti
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITRegole
If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives national popular vote is between -100 and 0 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote percentage received by all Democratic party House candidates in the general election minus the vote percentage received by all Republican party House candidates in the general election.
- The margin will be positive if the Democratic party wins the national House popular vote and negative if they lose the national House popular vote.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Grandi operazioni
$3.4k98.2%KALSHIDemocrats, 0 to 2% — No8 gg fa
KALSHIDemocrats, 0 to 2% — No8 gg fa$2.0k98.5%KALSHIDemocrats, 0 to 2% — No8 gg fa
KALSHIDemocrats, 0 to 2% — No8 gg fa$1.2k98.5%KALSHIDemocrats, 0 to 2% — No8 gg fa
KALSHIDemocrats, 0 to 2% — No8 gg faTrend del volume
$6.5k2 lug27g di dati28 lug
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If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives national popular vote is between -100 and 0 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote percentage received by all Democratic party House candidates in the general election minus the vote percentage received by all Republican party House candidates in the general election.
- The margin will be positive if the Democratic party wins the national House popular vote and negative if they lose the national House popular vote.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.