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  3. 2026 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
2026 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

2026 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

1.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticaElezioneUS Politics1a
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Republicans win
Republicans win 15%-1.0%
In testa tra 10 esiti
Qualita del mercato

60 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

162 €

Liquidità

3K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

14.0% / 15.0%

Spread

7.1%

Spread moderato
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 5 minuti fa

4 feb 26, 15:003 nov 27, 13:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Republicans win15%

PolymarketDisponibile anche su Polymarket

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

6.0%4m
Other
Other
46%
Democrats 8-10%
Democrats 8-10%
-0.5%19%
Democrats 6-8%
Democrats 6-8%
+6.0%18%

+11 altri esiti

89 • Alta qualitàSpread moderatoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale53,1K €
Volume 24h9K €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regole

If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S.

Kalshi
  • House of Representatives national popular vote is between -100 and 0 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote percentage received by all Democratic party House candidates in the general election minus the vote percentage received by all Republican party House candidates in the general election.
  • The margin will be positive if the Democratic party wins the national House popular vote and negative if they lose the national House popular vote.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.

I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.

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Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,639.39+1.81%EthereumETH$1,653.29+1.25%SolanaSOL$64.95+0.97%DogecoinDOGE$0.0847+1.12%XRPXRP$1.11+0.07%BNBBNB$595.91+1.54%

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Regole

If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S.

Kalshi
  • House of Representatives national popular vote is between -100 and 0 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote percentage received by all Democratic party House candidates in the general election minus the vote percentage received by all Republican party House candidates in the general election.
  • The margin will be positive if the Democratic party wins the national House popular vote and negative if they lose the national House popular vote.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.