2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
One-OffPoliticaPolitica USAElezioneElezioni di metà mandato USA 20267g
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Democrats 8-10% · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Riferimento salvato
Democrats 8-10% 25.2%In testa tra 13 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Democrats 8-10% 25.2%Qualità del mercato
79 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
1,8K €
Liquidità
516,2K €
Alta liquiditàOpen interest
18,2K USD
Bid / Ask
— / —
Democrats 8-10%Spread
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Commenti
0
Variazione 7g
-0.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 27 minuti fa
19 feb 26, 00:27 UTC4 nov 26, 04:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- Sì
Principali detentori
Caricamento dei principali detentori
Profondità di mercato · Democrats 8-10%
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
Kalshi2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional)
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional)
KalshiWill Democrats US House Popular vote % be 12x or more the US Gas Price average on election day?
Manifold MarketsWhich Party will win the House popular vote in 2026?
Manifold MarketsNZ Popular Vote Margin of Victory (Polymarket)
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election.
- The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election.
- Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House.