10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]
SportOne-OffTecnologiaSalute e medicinaIAScacchiScienza2mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 67%
Previsori
33
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 minuti fa
28 dic 25, 11:39 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]
Manifold Markets8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job loss [See full title!]
Manifold Markets2. Details of SSI’s research and technology will leak. The big labs will make meaningful adjustments [See full title!]
Manifold Markets5. Depreciation schedules become critically important, as debt plays growing role in the AI buildout [See full title!]
Manifold MarketsCovid Origins MegaMarket - lots of unlinked binary questions about the steps on the way, varying lengths
Manifold MarketsFull digitization (not necessarily emulation) of a human brain by 2035
Manifold MarketsRegole
All these predictions are taken from Forbes/Rob Toews' "10 AI Predictions For 2026".
- For the 2025 predictions you can find them here, and their resolution here.
- You can find all the markets under the tag [2026 Forbes AI predictions].
- Note that I will resolve to whatever Forbes/Rob Toews say in their resolution article for 2026's predictions, even if I or others disagree with his decision.
- I might bet in this market, as I have no power over the resolution.
- ❗ Full title: 10.
