Probabilità implicita attuale
Alibaba 31.6%+2.0ptIn testa tra 11 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Alibaba 31.6%+2.0ptQualità del mercato
59 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
232 €
Liquidità
11,9K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
1.1 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+27.3 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 38 minuti fa
18 set 26, 00:07 UTC1 dic 26, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- Sì
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun.
- Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
- Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
- Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.