PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneProbabilità implicita attuale
Google 57%+10.5%In testa tra 14 esiti
Qualita del mercato
80 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
968,9 €
Liquidità
68,9K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
55.0% / 59.0%
Spread
7.3%
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
30 apr 26, 19:3031 dic 26, 0:00
Trend
Esito scelto
Google57%
Disponibile anche su Kalshi
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
4.0%6m
-4.0%16%
-5.0%20%
-2.0%48%
+9 altri esiti
28 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale2,2K €
Volume 24h6,3 €
KALSHIRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
- The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/.
- If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
- The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/.
- If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available.