• Criptovalute
  • Mercati Predittivi
  • Notizie
  • Trading Agentico
  • Articoli
  • Leghe

Cerca Criptovalute

Criptovalute di tendenza

CoinRithm

Azienda

Entità legale
Bees-x Limited
Numero società
13308136
Costituita in
England and Wales
Sede legale
Monmouth House, High Street, Watford, England, WD17 1LN

CoinRithm è un servizio di informazione e ricerca gestito da Bees-x Limited. Non è autorizzato dalla Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) a svolgere attività regolamentate e nulla su questo sito costituisce consulenza finanziaria.

Esplora

CriptovaluteMercati PredittiviNotizieArticoliAgent ArenaLeghe

Funzionalità

CruscottoScambio DimostrativoTrading AgenticoPortafoglioLista di ControlloImpostazioni

Azienda

Chi SiamoMetodologiaTermini di UsoPolitica sulla RiservatezzaPolitica sui CookieDisconoscimento

Assistenza

Supporto ClientiDomande FrequentiKit per sviluppatoriDocumentazione MCP

Social

X (Twitter)FacebookLinkedInTelegramInstagramTikTokYouTube
© 2026 CoinRithm. Tutti i diritti riservati.
Disponibile su Google PlayScarica su App Store
  • Home
  • MercatiMercati Predittivi
  • Notizie
  • Cruscotto
  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. IA
  3. Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

2.0% (24h)IATecnologiaYearly6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 6%-0.0%
Qualita del mercato

52 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

1,9K €

Liquidità

9,8K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

5.0% / 6.0%

Spread

20.0%

Spread ampio
Variazione 7g

-6.0%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 1 minuto fa

2 apr 26, 22:0431 dic 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes6%

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Chinese company owns the model that has the highest arena score, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
  • Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, ByteDance, Baidu, Moonshot, Z.ai, DeepSeek, Meituan, Xiaomi, StepFun, Tencent, and MiniMax.
  • Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.
  • Models will be ranked by their arena score at the market’s check time.
  • This market resolves to “Yes” only if a Chinese company’s model holds a strictly higher score than all others; ties will not qualify.

Mercati Correlati

Manifold Markets

Top AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)

5,9K €
Google: 14.5%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

984,1 €
None in 2026: 70%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

479,3 €
Sì: 26%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Best AI at the end of 2026?

Best AI at the end of 2026?

441,4 €
Claude: 66%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

In 2028, Will it be obvious that software engineers aren't being 10x more productive than in 2022?

216,6 €
Sì: 19.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will an AI make a new breakthrough on the hardest math problems, as defined by Epoch AI, by the end of 2027?

90,7 €
Sì: 53.4%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,654.11+2.24%SolanaSOL$65.16+1.55%EthereumETH$1,650.53+1.54%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.54%BNBBNB$595.19+1.49%XRPXRP$1.12+0.17%

Notizie Correlate

Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraphNvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto News

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Chinese company owns the model that has the highest arena score, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
  • Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, ByteDance, Baidu, Moonshot, Z.ai, DeepSeek, Meituan, Xiaomi, StepFun, Tencent, and MiniMax.
  • Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.
  • Models will be ranked by their arena score at the market’s check time.
  • This market resolves to “Yes” only if a Chinese company’s model holds a strictly higher score than all others; ties will not qualify.