Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 20:15 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 70.7%
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Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto2 gen 26, 07:42 UTC9 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
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KalshiRegole
This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026
- It will resolve according to the judgement of the authors.
- If they don't publish a retrospective by the end of February, it will resolve according to my judgement.