KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeSì 17%-2.0%
Qualita del mercato
80 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
278,8 €
Liquidità
33,6K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
17.0% / 18.0%
Spread
5.9%
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 26 minuti fa
4 gen 26, 3:001 gen 27, 15:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Yes17%
Confronta le piattaforme· No
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMigliore in assoluto82% di corrispondenza · verificato | Alta | 97% | — | 671,7 € | 33,4K € | 6 minuti fa | Apri → |
| KalshiQuesta pagina | Alta | 83% | — | 278,8 € | 33,6K € | 26 minuti fa |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
0.3%5m
-0.3%97%
-2.0%43%
+0.5%21%
+1 altri esiti
91 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione
Volume totale91,5K €
Volume 24h671,7 €
POLYMARKETRegole
If a Chinese LLM is ranked as the top-ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The model must be top-ranked, alone, on the Rank metric (unless multiple Chinese models are #1) to resolve the market to Yes.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$3172 lug25g di dati26 lug
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If a Chinese LLM is ranked as the top-ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The model must be top-ranked, alone, on the Rank metric (unless multiple Chinese models are #1) to resolve the market to Yes.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.