KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeSì 17%-2.0%
Qualita del mercato
80 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
278,8 €
Liquidità
33,6K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
17.0% / 18.0%
Spread
5.9%
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 minuti fa
4 gen 26, 3:001 gen 27, 15:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Yes17%
Confronta le piattaforme· No
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMigliore in assoluto82% di corrispondenza · verificato | Alta | 97% | — | 671,7 € | 33,4K € | 15 minuti fa | Apri → |
| KalshiQuesta pagina | Alta | 83% | — | 278,8 € | 33,6K € | 15 minuti fa |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
0.3%5m
-0.3%97%
-2.0%43%
+0.5%21%
+1 altri esiti
91 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione
Volume totale91,5K €
Volume 24h671,7 €
POLYMARKETRegole
If a Chinese LLM is ranked as the top-ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The model must be top-ranked, alone, on the Rank metric (unless multiple Chinese models are #1) to resolve the market to Yes.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$3172 lug25g di dati26 lug
Mercati Correlati
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
1,5K €At least 55%: 87%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will it be common for non-programmers to create small scripts using AI in their everyday work or life? By 2027
223,8 €Sì: 23.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Neuralink’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
131,9 €↑$45B: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWhich "AI 2027" predictions will be right by Late 2026?
108,8 €Mainstream narrative shift: 73.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSTop AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)
0 €Google: 14.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Best AI at the end of 2026?
16K €Claude: 63%KALSHI
KALSHIAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
Coinbase Opens Payment Rails for AI Agents as Corporate Clients Accept Autonomous TransactionsBlockchain Reporter
Google Ships New Gemini Flash Models, But Pro Is Still MissingDecrypt
Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt
WhiteBIT Launches AI Hub: Trade, Monitor and Automate Through Your Favourite AI AssistantBlockchain Reporter
Over 95% of Coinbase’s code is now written with AICointelegraph
DeepSeek plots $71B IPO to challenge OpenAI in global AI raceCrypto NewsRegole
If a Chinese LLM is ranked as the top-ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The model must be top-ranked, alone, on the Rank metric (unless multiple Chinese models are #1) to resolve the market to Yes.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.