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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. IA
  3. Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

4.0% (24h)IATecnologiaYearly6m
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
xAI
xAI 16%-4.0%
In testa tra 12 esiti
Qualita del mercato

28 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

6,3 €

Liquidità

1K €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

16.0% / 18.0%

Spread

12.5%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 1 minuto fa

1 gen 26, 5:011 gen 27, 15:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

xAI16%

PolymarketDisponibile anche su Polymarket

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

9.5%6m
Google
Google
+9.5%56%
OpenAI
OpenAI
-0.5%36%
Meta
Meta
14%

+11 altri esiti

80 • Alta qualitàSpread moderatoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale30,2K €
Volume 24h512,6 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regole

If Meta has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Nvidia has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If xAI has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Mistral has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Deepseek has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Alibaba has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.

Mercati Correlati

Manifold Markets

Top AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)

5,9K €
Google: 14.5%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

1,9K €
Sì: 6%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Best AI at the end of 2026?

Best AI at the end of 2026?

441,4 €
Claude: 67%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Harvey AI publicly announces $200M+ ARR by EOY2026?

69,3 €
Sì: 89.5%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

First year a specific AI model/framework is named as Time's Person of the Year

64,8 €
2025: 0.9%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,638.15+2.21%SolanaSOL$65.11+1.46%EthereumETH$1,649.96+1.51%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.50%BNBBNB$595.17+1.48%XRPXRP$1.12+0.13%

Notizie Correlate

Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraphNvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto News

Regole

If Meta has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Nvidia has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If xAI has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Mistral has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Deepseek has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Alibaba has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.