PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 96%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
16,7K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
3.8% / 3.9%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+0.1 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
5 nov 25, 18:39 UTC31 dic 26, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Kim Jong-Un still Supreme Leader of North Korea through the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsTrump meets Kim Jong Un in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump and Kim Jong-un meet in person in year 2026?
Manifold MarketsDonald Trump to Meet Kim Jong-Un in 2026?
FutuurKim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75.5%
- New People (NL)-4.0pt21.4%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.5pt2%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 423,4K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.1%
- October 31-1.0pt28.5%
- September 30-1.0pt13%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+3.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+12.0pt71%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Volume totale
- 35,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 95,4K €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA-0.1pt7%
- International Court of Justice+1.1pt6%
+17 altri esiti
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026??
- Polymarket quota No al 96% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026??
- Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).