Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 66.4%
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto8 apr 26, 08:35 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
One of Australia's most decorated soldiers, Ben Roberts-Smith, was recently arrested and charged with five counts of the war crime of murder during his deployment in Afghanistan.
- His trial is yet to be scheduled.
- Resolves YES if Ben Roberts-Smith in found guilty of at least one count of war crime - murder at any time before January 1st, 2028, AEST.
- The resolution source is a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 35,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1K €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
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- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Ben Roberts-Smith found guilty of war crimes before 2028??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 66% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Ben Roberts-Smith found guilty of war crimes before 2028??
- Ben Roberts-Smith found guilty of war crimes before 2028? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Ben Roberts-Smith found guilty of war crimes before 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: One of Australia's most decorated soldiers, Ben Roberts-Smith, was recently arrested and charged with five counts of the war crime of murder during his deployment in Afghanistan.