Ben Roberts-Smith found guilty of war crimes before 2028?
GeopoliticaOne-OffCriminalità e giustizia1a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 04:15 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 66.4%
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo8 apr 26, 08:35 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the ICC or similar tribunal find Russians guilty of war crimes re the Nova Kakhovka dam failure?
Manifold MarketsWill the ICJ determine that Israel committed war crimes in Gaza?
Manifold MarketsTrump wanted by the ICC for war crimes?
Manifold MarketsWill Andrew Tate be found guilty of any of the charges he was detained for on the 29th of December 2022
Manifold MarketsSPLC found guilty in 2026?
PolymarketMaduro guilty of all counts?
PolymarketRegole
One of Australia's most decorated soldiers, Ben Roberts-Smith, was recently arrested and charged with five counts of the war crime of murder during his deployment in Afghanistan.
- His trial is yet to be scheduled.
- Resolves YES if Ben Roberts-Smith in found guilty of at least one count of war crime - murder at any time before January 1st, 2028, AEST.
- The resolution source is a consensus of credible reporting.