Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?
GeopoliticaOne-OffAmerica LatinaCriminalità e giustizia2m
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
Book ricevuto (non l’ora della quotazione della piattaforma): —
Riferimento salvato
Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar 15%In testa tra 8 esiti
Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar 15%Qualità del mercato
64 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
946,1 €
Liquidità
56,6K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
— / —
Iván Archivaldo Guzmán SalazarSpread
—
Commenti
2
Variazione 7g
-6.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 32 minuti fa
24 feb 26, 01:24 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Audias Flores-SilvaVinta
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 0,1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- No
Profondità di mercato · Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar
Caricamento del book selezionato…
Book ricevuto (non l’ora della quotazione della piattaforma): —
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by which date?
PolymarketArizona passes drug cartel ballot measure?
PolymarketThe Five Proud Boys Leaders get one dollar or more compensatory or punitive damages.
Manifold MarketsWhich leaders will meet before 2027?
KalshiWho will be arrested in 2026?
KalshiWho will be arrested before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.