PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneProbabilità implicita attualeOctober 31 73%-3.0%In testa tra 4 esiti
Qualita del mercato
89 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
31,4K €
Liquidità
256,5K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
1.5% / 1.6%
Spread
6.7%
Spread moderatoVariazione 7g
-6.0%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
25 giu 26, 23:2231 ago 26, 23:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
October 3173%
Grandi operazioni
$4.7k94.0%NoWarren-Buffett3 gg fa
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This market resolves to “Yes” if the Iranian government officially announces and begins collecting fees, tolls, charges, tariffs, or similar payments from commercial vessels which are mandatory for passage through or access to the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to “No.”
- A qualifying fee must be an announced policy which applies generally to all commercial vessels, or a defined subcategory of commercial vessels (e.g., vessels flagged to the US and its allies).
- Isolated demanded charges will not qualify.
- A fee is mandatory if, in practice, affected commercial vessels cannot transit or access the Strait of Hormuz without paying it, regardless of whether Iran characterizes the payment as voluntary or a fee for services.
- Fees described as tolls, maritime fees, service charges, environmental fees, security fees, insurance charges, etc. will qualify provided they are recognized as mandatory for passage through or access to the Strait of Hormuz by a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., a mandatory insurance fee charged by the Iranian Persian Gulf Strait Authority would qualify).