Iran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
2.0 pt (24h)Politica commercialeOne-OffMedio OrienteCriminalità e giustizia2m
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
December 31 19%+2.0ptIn testa tra 6 esiti
December 31 19%+2.0ptQualità del mercato
64 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1,2K €
Liquidità
58,8K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
45
Variazione 7g
-3.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 28 minuti fa
25 giu 26, 23:22 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
August 31Persa
Prima della chiusura: 0% ·
July 15Persa
Prima della chiusura: 0% ·
July 31Persa
Prima della chiusura: 0% ·
September 30Persa
Prima della chiusura: 1% ·
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- No
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This market resolves to “Yes” if the Iranian government officially announces and begins collecting fees, tolls, charges, tariffs, or similar payments from commercial vessels which are mandatory for passage through or access to the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to “No.”
- A qualifying fee must be an announced policy which applies generally to all commercial vessels, or a defined subcategory of commercial vessels (e.g., vessels flagged to the US and its allies).
- Isolated demanded charges will not qualify.
- A fee is mandatory if, in practice, affected commercial vessels cannot transit or access the Strait of Hormuz without paying it, regardless of whether Iran characterizes the payment as voluntary or a fee for services.
- Fees described as tolls, maritime fees, service charges, environmental fees, security fees, insurance charges, etc. will qualify provided they are recognized as mandatory for passage through or access to the Strait of Hormuz by a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., a mandatory insurance fee charged by the Iranian Persian Gulf Strait Authority would qualify).
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Iran charges Hormuz fees by...? · August 31 50%