US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?
6.5 pt (24h)Trade PolicyOne-OffGeopolitica10g
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 21 ago 2026, 17:40 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì 61%+6.5pt
Qualita del mercato
52 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1,5K €
Liquidità
504,7 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
58.0% / 64.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Spread ampioComments
2
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
18 ago 26, 20:2431 ago 26, 23:59
Trend
Regole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a diplomatic agreement between the United States and Canada to lower US tariffs on Canada is announced by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- A diplomatic agreement to lower US tariffs on Canada refers to an official agreement, treaty, deal, or substantially similar diplomatic instrument that commits or obligates the United States to lower any tariffs on Canada, or includes the lowering of US tariffs on Canada as part of its stated terms.
- Any reduction, revocation, or suspension of US tariffs on Canada, or the cancelled or suspended implementation of previously announced tariffs not yet effective, mutually announced as part of a diplomatic agreement, will qualify as lowering tariffs.
- All listed countries must announce their acceptance of the same qualifying diplomatic agreement.
- A joint announcement will qualify, as will separate announcements from each entity of its own acceptance of an agreement which, taken together, directly indicate that all the listed countries accepted the same agreement.
- Separate announcements of individual policies will not qualify if the policies are not announced as part of a diplomatic agreement.
